Housing Market Report
Polk County, FL
Data through February 2026 · Updated monthly
Homes are selling quickly with few price cuts
Avg Home Value
$297,259
▼ 4.3% year-over-year
Days to Pending
55 days
Homes For Sale
5,083
Avg Rent/Month
$1,824
▲ 0.5% year-over-year
The Polk County, FL housing market is showing signs of cooling. The average home value is $297,259, down 4.3% year-over-year as of February 2026. Homes are spending a median of 55 days on the market before going pending. 0.2% of active listings have had a price cut.
Polk County leans toward a seller's market, with 0.1% of homes selling above list price and 0.6% selling below. There are currently 5,083 homes for sale in the county, with 877 new listings hitting the market each month. The median sale-to-list ratio is 98.0%, indicating buyers have negotiating leverage.
The average asking rent in Polk County is $1,824 per month, up 0.5% year-over-year. For investors, the gross rent multiplier on a median-priced home is approximately 13.6, indicating strong cash flow potential for buy-and-hold strategies.
For homebuyers, the estimated monthly mortgage payment on a median-priced home in Polk County with 10% down is $1,845. That is $20 more per month than the average rent, making renting the more affordable short-term option. Homes are selling 11.7% below asking price on average, giving buyers room to negotiate.
Bottom-tier homes (under the 33rd percentile) are currently valued at $209,982, making them the primary target range for investors looking at wholesale deals, fix-and-flip projects, or BRRRR strategies.
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Market Snapshot
Polk County Housing Market at a Glance
Key metrics for Polk County as of February 2026. Year-over-year changes show how the market has shifted in the last 12 months.
| Metric | Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 3-Mo Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Home Value | $297,594 | $297,355 | $297,259 | ▼ 0.1% |
| Single Family Value | $300,927 | $300,685 | $300,572 | ▼ 0.1% |
| Median List Price | $337,667 | $336,333 | $334,012 | ▼ 1.1% |
| Avg Rent/Month | $1,829 | $1,823 | $1,824 | ▼ 0.2% |
| Homes For Sale | 5,265 | 5,136 | 5,083 | ▼ 3.5% |
| New Listings | 952 | 854 | 877 | ▼ 7.9% |
| % Listings w/ Price Cut | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | ▼ 7.7% |
Home Values
Polk County Home Value Trend (2000–2026)
All-home median values including the 2008 housing crash, 2020 COVID surge, and 2022 rate shock. Switch between All Homes, Single Family, Bottom Tier, Top Tier, and Rent to compare trends.
Source: Zillow Research ZHVI / ZORI · Updated monthly
Market Breakdown
What Homes Cost in Polk County
Home values broken down by bedroom count, ZIP code neighborhood, and property type. 3-bedroom homes are valued at $286,221 in Polk County. 1-bedroom units start at $106,751.
| Bedroom Count | Avg Value | Last 30 Days | Last Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bedroom | $106,751 | ▼ 0.5% | ▼ 10.1% |
| 2 Bedrooms | $195,005 | No Change | ▼ 6.8% |
| 3 Bedrooms | $286,221 | No Change | ▼ 4.3% |
| 4 Bedrooms | $344,188 | ▼ 0.1% | ▼ 3.9% |
| 5+ Bedrooms | $422,944 | ▼ 0.2% | ▼ 4.2% |
The table above reflects average home values and rent in Polk County, broken down by bedroom count, neighborhoods, and property types. Data sourced from Zillow Research.
Market Tiers
Buyer vs. Investor Segments
Bottom-tier homes (under 33rd percentile) are the primary target for wholesale investors using the 70% rule. In Polk County, bottom-tier homes are valued at $209,982.
Bottom Tier
Under 33rd percentile
$209,982
▼ 5.6% YoY
Wholesale / investor range
Mid Tier
33rd-67th percentile
$297,259
▼ 4.3% YoY
Typical buyer range
Top Tier
Over 67th percentile
$396,158
Luxury / high-end
Market Activity
Supply, Demand and Pricing Power
How quickly homes are selling, how many are available, and whether sellers or buyers have the upper hand in Polk County.
Homes For Sale
5,083
877 new/month
% Sold Below List
0.6%
0.1% sold above
% Listings w/ Price Cut
0.2%
$10,000 median cut
Median Days to Close
31 days
55 days to pending
Median List Price
$334,012
Median Sale Price
$295,000
98.0% sale-to-list
Affordability
Monthly Cost to Own in Polk County
Estimated mortgage payments on the median-priced home at current rates. Compare against the average rent of $1,824/month to evaluate buy vs. rent.
| Down Payment | Est. Monthly Payment |
|---|---|
| 5% down | $2,783/mo |
| 10% down | $2,681/mo |
| 20% down | $2,278/mo |
Avg rent in this market: $1,824/month · Mortgage estimates based on Zillow data at prevailing rates
Rental Market
Rent Trends in Polk County
Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) tracks typical asking rent, controlling for quality mix. Rent in Polk County is up 0.5% compared to last year. At current prices, the price-to-rent ratio is 13.6x annual rent.
Avg Asking Rent
$1,824
Year-over-Year
+0.5%
▲ 0.5%
Month-over-Month
+0.1%
▲ 0.1%
Price-to-Rent Ratio
13.6x
Rent trend (ZORI)
Source: Zillow Research ZHVI / ZORI · Updated monthly
Metro Context
Polk County vs. Lakeland
How Polk County compares to the broader Lakeland metropolitan area.
| Metric | Polk County | Metro Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Avg Home Value | $297,259 | $297,259 |
| Days to Pending | 55 days | -- |
| % Sold Below List | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Avg Rent/Month | $1,824 | $1,824 |
By Neighborhood
Home Values in Polk County by ZIP Code
Compare home values and price trends across neighborhoods in Polk County. Click any ZIP to see its full market report.
| ZIP Code | Area | Avg Home Value | 1Y Change | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33812 | Lakeland | $372,169 | ▼ 2.0% | View → |
| 33813 | Lakeland | $367,054 | ▼ 1.7% | View → |
| 33811 | Lakeland | $335,174 | ▼ 3.5% | View → |
| 33810 | Lakeland | $315,417 | ▼ 3.1% | View → |
| 33809 | Lakeland | $309,400 | ▼ 3.5% | View → |
| 33803 | Lakeland | $285,251 | ▼ 4.5% | View → |
| 33801 | Lakeland | $231,053 | ▼ 3.9% | View → |
| 33805 | Lakeland | $230,931 | ▼ 5.7% | View → |
| 33815 | Lakeland | $182,724 | ▼ 9.3% | View → |
Nearby Markets
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Data Sources and Methodology
Market data on this page comes from the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) and Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), updated monthly by Zillow Research. ZHVI measures the typical home value for a given region based on Zillow's proprietary automated valuation model, smoothed and seasonally adjusted to remove noise. ZORI measures the typical observed market-rate rent across the region, controlling for quality mix changes.
Sale price, inventory, days-on-market, and sale-to-list metrics are sourced from Zillow Research public data releases. All data is refreshed on the 17th of each month. This report was last updated February 2026.
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